Provided by the International Finance Corporation
Business, as in life is full of surprises. Even the most thoroughly planned businesses will likely face unexpected events that can have a catastrophic effect. Here is a full list of some of those unexpected events and how you might cope with them or, even better yet, put strategies in place now to limit the impact those events could have on your business.
- Key staff resigns abruptly
- Sudden arrival of a new competitor
- Late payment by large customers
- Problems with banks
- Bad debt
- Currency devaluation
- Machinery breakdown
- Market changes
- Political uncertainty
KEY STAFF RESIGNS ABRUPTLY
Problems that can be caused
- Loss of technical skills
- Loss of capacity
- Loss of leadership
- Feeling of betrayal
Working through it
- Stop feeling sorry for yourself
- Find out why they want to leave and try to convince the person to stay, if that fails….
- Be prepared to take on a more hands-on role to fill the gap
- Make sure the staff member leaves behind all company property (including intellectual property) and is off payroll
- Share the workload amongst remaining staff as fairly as possible
- Contact anyone you know who might have the skills you need
- Consider paying a higher price for a temporary staff member
- Contact staff from a competitor, maybe someone there wants to leave
What to do beforehand to limit the impact
- Train all staff in multiple jobs
- Ensure key staff have a longer than average notice period (e.g. 3 months)
- Consider putting in a non-compete clause in employment contracts to stop staff joining a competitor
- Keep track of people in the industry or technical sector who might one day work for you
- Join online networks of people in the industry or sector, use it to find staff quickly
- Take great care not to put too much responsibility on one person
- In some countries, it is possible to take out key staff insurance policies
- Keep your staff aware of your plans, that is often enough to generate loyalty.
Opportunities
- Time for a reshuffle of roles and responsibilities?
- Chance to reward another staff member with an overdue promotion
- A new staff member could bring new energy and ideas
- This is a chance to really test the market for a particular skill-set, use it.
SUDDEN ARRIVAL OF A NEW COMPETITOR
Problems that can be caused
- Loss of sales
- Product confusion amongst customers
- Potential loss of staff
- Reduced availability of raw materials
Working through it
Act to keep your customers by offering
- Discounts
- Match competitors’ prices
- credit terms
- Loyalty rewards
Act to keep your suppliers by offering
- Advanced orders
- Faster payment
- Larger orders
Act to keep your staff by offering
- Salary increases
- Training
For long-term staff, shares in the business
What to do beforehand to limit the impact
- Build up brand loyalty by providing benefits to long-standing customers
- Monitor competitors’ prices regularly
- Adjust prices to match competitors as much as possible
- Secure long-term supply arrangements with key suppliers
- Ensure that your salaries match or are better than competitors
Opportunities
- Could there be a strategic alliance with the new competitor?
- Will the competitor consider buying your business?
- Is it time to move to a new market
- Can you diversify your products or services?
- Is it time to invest in new machinery or modern production or delivery methods?
- Is it time to use more IT in your business to cut costs and expand the market?
LATE PAYMENT BY LARGE CUSTOMERS
Problems that can be caused
- Cash flow problems
- Potential loss of a large customer
- Potential legal costs to recover the money
- Could be an indication of tough times ahead for many customers
Working through it
- Stay in contact with the customer
- Find short-term financing to cover the cash deficit
- Consider charging a late payment fee
- Seek legal advice in case court action is necessary later
- Offer a payment plan
- If it looks like the customer is going out of business, suggest a large discount for immediate payment – better than getting less than that, or nothing at all, many months from now after liquidation
What to do beforehand to limit the impact
- Try to limit the percentage of total sales to any single customer
- Include in conditions of sale, a clause that states the goods belong to the seller until paid for in full
- Consider using a factoring service
- If payments are delayed consider carefully if additional sales should be made to the same customer
- It might be possible to obtain bad debt insurance
Opportunities
- Time to diversify the customer base?
- Is the customer a potential investment target? Now might be a good time to convert a debt into an asset.
PROBLEMS WITH BANKS
Problems that can be caused
- Refusal of loan/overdraft applications
- Poor credit rating shared with other lenders
- Early repayment of existing loans/overdrafts
Working through it
- If problem is personal, recognise that this is not a relationship of equals. The bank has money, you need it. They hold the power
- Open discussions with an alternative bank about transferring accounts, loans and overdrafts
What to do beforehand to limit the impact
- Maintain relations with more than one bank
- If negotiating a loan ensure there are no early repayment fees- this could stop you moving the loan to another bank
- Maintain good personal relationship with the bank manager assigned to your account
Opportunities
- Explore online banking options
- Consider alternative financing models
BAD DEBT
Problems that can be caused
- Cash flow problems
- Loss of big customer
- Could signal deeper market problems
Working through it
- Keep records of all communications and efforts made to recover the money – this could be useful when negotiating credit from your bank or other lender to cover the cash shortfall
- If the customer is still in business, consider legal action
What to do beforehand to limit the impact
- For all new large customers, conduct a customer evaluation – sometimes referred to as ‘know your customer’
- For overseas customers, your government might offer some export protection or support
- Consider asking large, new customers to pay a proportion of the price in advance
Opportunities
- Chance to reflect on sales practices – could this have been avoided?
CURRENCY DEVALUATIONS
Problems that can be caused
- Cash flow problems
- Higher prices for imported materials
- Higher income from international sales (if any)
- All prices will tend to rise in time including wages but it might not be possible to raise local currency selling prices
- Bank might wish to renegotiate loans or overdrafts to increase the interest rate
Working through it
- If possible set sales prices in a foreign currency
- Find local suppliers for any materials currently imported
- If foreign currency is needed to purchase imported materials, wait as long as possible – the exchange rate is likely to settle down after a few weeks once panic buying of foreign currency subsides
- If the business exports and receives payment in foreign currency, use the windfall profits as a strategic reserve for future expansion
What to do beforehand to limit the impact
If your business buys imported materials
- Consider holding some cash in the foreign currency
- Keep looking out for local suppliers of those materials
If you export and get paid in foreign currency
- Consider opening an additional outlet or production site overseas to counter the impact of devaluation on the business
Opportunities
- Overseas expansion
- Get into exporting
- Find more diversified suppliers at home and overseas
- If bank tries to raise interest rates, shop around for an alternative – not all banks will be affected equally by currency devaluations
MACHINERY BREAKDOWN
Problems that can be caused
- Loss of production
- Staff sitting idle
- Loss of sales
Working through it
- Search for alternative production capacity
- Consider purchasing a new machine which might be cheaper than waiting for a repair
- Move idle staff on to other tasks
What to do beforehand to limit the impact
- Sign a maintenance contract
- If available, buy machinery breakdown insurance
- Make arrangement with a competitor to allow use of each-other’s machines in the event of break downs
- If the critical machine is old, consider holding a high stock of the output of that machine so that sales are not affected
- If it is affordable, keep a second identical machine as standby
- Make sure staff are trained in other functions so they can be put to use when ‘their machine’ is idle
Opportunities
- Maybe time to invest in a new machine
- Perhaps get the machine completely overhauled or upgraded rather than just repaired
MARKET CHANGES
Problems that can be caused
- New regulations add costs
- Exchange controls affect movement of funds
- New technology threatens to destabilise current business norms
Working through it
- Remember, all your competitors will be affected in the same way – don’t panic
- Understand the changes quickly and fully
- Embrace the new technology (even if you can’t yet make use of it)
- Stay in touch with customers and reassure them that things will be fine
What to do beforehand to limit the impact
- Join a trade association or chamber of commerce – they are often consulted about proposed changes to regulations and will keep you informed
- Make political connections to learn about proposed changes introduced by government
- Become an activist in favour of/against the action that could be taken
Opportunities
In business, as in life, the quickest to adapt to new situations are usually the ones who survive
POLITICAL UNCERTANTY
Problems that can be caused
While everyone waits to see what will happen
- Customers may be reluctant to buy
- Banks may be reluctant to lend
- Most government procurement goes on hold
Working through it
- Remember that everyone is in the same boat
- Consider selling outside the country
- Ask lenders to allow a repayment holiday
- Encourage customers with discounts and deals
- If it continues for more than a short time, consider shutting to save on running costs if sales figures don’t justify staying open
- Stay in touch with customers and reassure them that things will work out
What to do beforehand t limit the impact
- Try to sign flexible contracts with staff (e.g. bonuses in busy times and temporary lay-offs in lean times)
- Consider setting up a satellite outlet or production site in a neighbouring country that can be rapidly expanded if the main site is significantly affected
- Set up an uncertainty fund to be used in times like these
Opportunities
- Great time to train otherwise idle staff
- Great time to overhaul otherwise idle equipment
For more resources
- Quick tips for dealing with setbacks and common business problems
- Getting Financial Controls in Place
- 10 ways to help you increase your cash flow
- Amira business story
- Family business succession planning
- Anticipate new competitors with a SWOT analysis
- 10 steps to effective collection and sample collection letters
- How to handle a potential client with back credit
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